How we rank prediction-market prop firms
Prediction-market prop trading is a new, fast-moving category. Several firms launched in 2026, rules change between updates, and some sites are visibly unfinished. Our job is to cut through that with a consistent, transparent score.
The five pillars
Every firm gets a score from 1 to 5 on each pillar. The pillars are weighted to reflect what actually determines whether a trader gets paid, then combined into the overall rating you see in the ranking.
Rules & flexibility
30%Profit target, drawdown type and size, consistency rules, minimum days, time limits, and position caps. Lower targets, no countdown, and forgiving but clear risk rules score highest. Hidden or punitive rules score lowest.
Payouts
25%How you get paid and how reliably: profit split, payout method and speed, minimums and caps, and any real payout proof. Fast on-chain payouts with a high, un-gated split score best.
Pricing
15%Entry fee relative to account size and what you get for it, plus refund terms. We reward transparent pricing and penalise paywalled features dressed up as performance rewards.
Platform
15%Data quality and how closely the simulated account tracks the live market, market coverage and depth, and how usable the trading interface is for binary event markets. Note that, as in forex and futures, these challenges are simulated rather than your own capital on-chain.
Trust & support
15%Track record, completeness of the website and legal terms, team transparency, support responsiveness, and community signal. Unfinished sites, broken or missing terms, and anonymous teams score lowest.
How we verify
We check each firm’s rules against its own live site and pricing pages, cross-referenced with public coverage and community reports. Every review carries a “last verified” date, most recently 2026-06-13. When a figure cannot be confirmed on a firm’s site, we mark it as not published rather than guess. Because these firms change rules often, we treat any single review as a snapshot and re-check on a rolling basis.
How we make money
Some outbound links are affiliate links that may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Commissions never change a score or a ranking position. Scores are set only by the pillars above. We do not sell placement, and we keep critical notes (broken terms pages, geo-restrictions, paid upsells) in reviews even for firms we may earn from.
What is a prediction-market prop firm?
A prediction-market prop firm funds traders to trade event markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. You buy an evaluation, hit a profit target within set risk limits on a simulated or live account, and then trade the firm’s capital for a share of the profit, usually 70 to 90 percent. It is the same proprietary-trading challenge model used in forex and futures, adapted to binary yes or no outcomes. The model is young: pricing, rules, and even whether execution is real or simulated still vary a lot between firms, which is exactly why a like-for-like comparison is useful.